New York Times public editor Byron Calame delivered another good column this past Sunday, this time offering a clear and necessary explanation/debunking of some fuzzy numbers in a Times story. (We say another because his December 31 column about a questionable abortion story was also an example of the kind of work that makes a powerful argument in favor of having a public editor.)
The story in question, "51% of Women Are Now Living Without Spouse," created quite a bit of stir when it was published on January 16. As Eat The Press notes in its interesting and useful link-heavy round-up, shock-number trend stories like this are "instantly picked up all over the place, repackaged on front-pages throughout the country, repeated on news and talk shows, hashed over in the blogosphere." These stories are news that make news. So it's essential that the math be solid.
It's an oft-repeated maxim that journalists are bad at math. Sometimes, we simply take numbers offered to us and reprint them without taking a second look. Sometimes, we introduce errors through poor math or other mistakes. And sometimes, as it seems in this case, we use numbers that appear to make a better/more interesting story and fail to offer a full explanation of the logic and limitations of said numbers. People who read the fine print on this piece were surprised by what they found. As a result, they questioned the overall conclusions of the article. A little disclosure goes a long way. Calame does a good job investigating how the questionable numbers came to be printed and not fully explained, and he also includes details about how the Times plans to avoid this in the future:
In the wake of this controversy, Bill Keller, the executive editor, has
decided to meet with staffers with expertise in statistics and
demographics to create a “vetting network to help with the editing of
articles dealing with those subjects,” Craig R. Whitney, an assistant
managing editor and the standards editor, said Thursday.
That's good news. One more recommendation: introduce a math-related training program for staffers in order to increase the overall level of numeracy in the newsroom.
For those interested, go here and here to read some of the many math/numbers errors we've collected. UPDATE Feb 14: The times published this correction to the story today:
A front-page article and chart on Jan. 16 about the rising number of
women in the United States living without spouses referred imprecisely
to ages of the women included in the Census Bureau survey that was the
basis of the finding. The women were 15 and older, not over 15.
UPDATE Feb 18: Here's a clarification published in the Atlanta Journal-Constitution on Feb 18:
The Sunday
@issue section on Jan. 28 featured a number of articles on the state of
marriage, including pieces by a single man and a single woman about why
they live without a mate.
The suggestion
that marriage is in trouble --- or at least in transition --- resonated
with readers, who stormed a forum on ajc.com to talk about the
advantages and liabilities of being married.
But
the basis of the articles --- what we in the business call the news peg
--- was a New York Times story reporting that, for the first time, more
women are living without a husband than with one.
That
story was misleading. In crunching census data for the story, the
newspaper included girls aged 15 through 17 as living without a
husband. About 90 percent of these "women" live with their parents.
Times' Public Editor Byron Calame last week calculated that, among women 18 and older, 48 percent are living without a spouse.
That number is still high, but it hasn't crossed the 50 percent threshold that prompted the story in the first place.